Re: Belmont possibles (727 Views)
Posted by:
miff (IP Logged)
Date: May 18, 2015 11:18AM
Rob,
Not a reasonable take imo.I seriously doubt that different owners of Pletcher would consider or allow such a conspiracy.Would love to be present when TAP tells Elliot Walden that Carpe is a rabbit for Belmont.
The only one who trained "well"out of the derby was Materiality, then Pletcher backed off the Preak to wait for the Belmont with his big/fast well bred horse.
Frosted, by my sheet interpretation, is not in the same area code with AP or even Materiality ability wise, I know the figs well and what they seem to indicate.Dont think Frosted could ever outrun either one of those without a highly favorable set up, all at their best.
Lastly on Materiality, who says the sharp quick ascendency to his loffy figs didn't knock him out. Your mulligan in the derby is maybe a bit generous if you look at his internals which come up very weak(trouble start noted).
Tricky stuff,really knowing how well a horses is doing. After Upstart got over being ill, he trained like a wild horse, Violette told several NY trainers he expected a lights out performance from Upstart.
In the end,Belmont, often enough, not about who's fast, so beware the slugs.
Good Luck
Mike