Re: Belmont possibles (657 Views)
Posted by:
T Severini (IP Logged)
Date: May 18, 2015 05:54PM
pizzalove Wrote:
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> Whether you use Beyer figures or Tg figures or a
> combination of both. there are no absolutes here.
> you have to look how the race was run. Frosted
> quite simply was the best horse on Derby day. the
> eye test wins.
No comment upon the premise, other than AP seems to be earning figures regardless of how the race is run. However, want to comment upon Frosted.
First off, it sure looks like AP is gonna "weather" at Churchill Down's again. Baffert is saying the horse if tired after the Preakness. He certainly was full of energy in his last gallop for the Preakness despite being reported tired after the Derby. His Granddad won the Belmont, but the Big Sandy isn't for every horse. It's generally as deep or deeper and sandier than Churchill Downs.
Back to Frosted, his trainer has won the Belmont with a horse having a Deputy Minister broodmare sire. Jazil was his name. That trainer is Belmont based and I'd like to see Frosted fire a work that says he'll be more forwardly placed. He's fast enough, but he needs to stay in touch.