I don't like him to win, but the Peter Pan winner is going to run a good race and be in the vertical wagers. He is a bit of a grinding slug, but he is getting better at the right time, figures to be passing tired horses late and the Peter Pan entrants have done well recently I the belmont. Not to mention that this seems to the only triple crown race pletcher can get horses to run well in.

As for the pace scenario u laid out, it certainly sounds plausible. The thing is, in the belmont, anybody can make the lead, if sent hard enough, because the pace is slower. As opposed to the preakness, I would be surprised if Espinoza goes to the front and takes no prisoners. Seems more likely to try a derby type ride, where he sits just off and waits to push the button.

I just hope they all show up, because I think it is going to be very interesting.

Rob