Re: The Vosburgh (ROTW), etc. (611 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: September 26, 2015 03:23PM
The Vosburgh looks a lot like a Breeder's Cup Sprint prep. The timing is right the cast looks capable. One or more of these can be expected to make the Kee field.
Using TG principle #1 Best TG# generally has best (highest) probability of winning. Therefore group 1 the [u]win contenders[/u] - horses proven capable of earning TG -3 or better. [b]Rock Fall[/b] the dreaded odds on favorite stepping up in irrelevant class. [b]Weekend Hideaway[/b] ran a big Jan GP TG# and has been vanned off or scratched in four of his last five. This one is a true believer's special. [b]Salutos Amigos[/b] hard to imagine the horse could get beaten so often earning those TG #'s. [b]Palace[/b] keep it simple/objective. One or more of this group to be prominent late
Using TG principle #2 pattern (pick your version) - horses that inherit the win when small #'s fail. The vertical key group - [b]Stallwalking Dude[/b] he appears an iron horse runs his zero plus/minus race in and race out usually 4w. Hmm this race c/b crowded out there. [b]Brothersofthetime[/b] never better back following a small new top (is this the pooh-poohed condition move?
TG principal race dynamics -considerations limited to ground loss. [b]Wildcat Red[/b] once considered fast now considered slow. A 15/1 m/l celebrity of sorts. He looks to be on or the pacesetter with non taxing fractions. Ground loss expected to be minimal. Competent trainer may have good reason for journeying north. I'll put him under the chalk for an exacta and third behind the fast four in a trifecta.
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