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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023 
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Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (594 Views)
Posted by: Boscar Obarra (IP Logged)
Date: November 07, 2015 12:33AM

Don't fall into the trap of selective analysis. They're pointing you at this one race, where it's 99.99% likely the wrong horse was led over. What kind of moron would think they could pass a gelding off as a filly , not only through the identifier, but the testing barn as well. All this for a 20k or 30k payday?

There are dozens of races every day around the country where the exotic payoffs are dramatically lower than the win odds would imply.

The tri was low most likely because of the #'s, 1-3-5.

And with extreme longshots you RARELY get fair value in the exacta , expecially with another bomb, in this case 20-1.

What do I know, only been watching the pools for 40 years.


PS, Nothing to do with this race, but someone called Byk and asked about the exacta at AQU where the 5/2 over 80-1 only paid 260 or so.

I didn't have the race up live, so I didn't see the betdown the caller talked about , supposedly 600 earlier. Don't have to.

Happens all the time. Every day. And 99% of the time they lose. Could be someone(s) that liked the favored winner, and didn't like the other shortish prices, and played hard on the rest. Could have been smart money. You never know.

Doesn't mean a thing in the long run, and if you played all these 'hammered' numbers you'd probably lose not only the takeout , but two or three times that.



Subject Written By Posted
Bruce Jenner Stakes (1113 Views) shanahan 11/05/2015 07:55PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (814 Views) jp702006 11/05/2015 08:18PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (767 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/05/2015 10:21PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (699 Views) jp702006 11/05/2015 10:50PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (701 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/05/2015 11:50PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (723 Views) jp702006 11/05/2015 11:58PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (477 Views) jp702006 11/23/2015 08:40PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (696 Views) richiebee 11/06/2015 10:32AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (727 Views) colt 11/06/2015 02:37PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (625 Views) Topcat 11/06/2015 03:30PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (627 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/06/2015 03:46PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (629 Views) moosepalm 11/06/2015 08:34PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (588 Views) jp702006 11/06/2015 09:02PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (584 Views) Mathcapper 11/06/2015 11:04PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (594 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/07/2015 12:33AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (573 Views) Mathcapper 11/07/2015 01:21AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (553 Views) moosepalm 11/07/2015 10:36AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (555 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/07/2015 12:49PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (523 Views) moosepalm 11/07/2015 07:08PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (557 Views) Boscar Obarra 11/07/2015 09:16PM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (555 Views) gadspicks 11/08/2015 02:15AM
Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (550 Views) metroj 11/07/2015 01:30AM


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