Re: Bruce Jenner Stakes (594 Views)
Posted by:
Boscar Obarra (IP Logged)
Date: November 07, 2015 12:33AM
Don't fall into the trap of selective analysis. They're pointing you at this one race, where it's 99.99% likely the wrong horse was led over. What kind of moron would think they could pass a gelding off as a filly , not only through the identifier, but the testing barn as well. All this for a 20k or 30k payday?
There are dozens of races every day around the country where the exotic payoffs are dramatically lower than the win odds would imply.
The tri was low most likely because of the #'s, 1-3-5.
And with extreme longshots you RARELY get fair value in the exacta , expecially with another bomb, in this case 20-1.
What do I know, only been watching the pools for 40 years.
PS, Nothing to do with this race, but someone called Byk and asked about the exacta at AQU where the 5/2 over 80-1 only paid 260 or so.
I didn't have the race up live, so I didn't see the betdown the caller talked about , supposedly 600 earlier. Don't have to.
Happens all the time. Every day. And 99% of the time they lose. Could be someone(s) that liked the favored winner, and didn't like the other shortish prices, and played hard on the rest. Could have been smart money. You never know.
Doesn't mean a thing in the long run, and if you played all these 'hammered' numbers you'd probably lose not only the takeout , but two or three times that.