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Re: Donn Handicap (812 Views)
Posted by: belmont3 (IP Logged)
Date: February 06, 2016 11:27PM

johnny,

Thought I'd take this opportunity to bring up a 'betting' strategy that was shared by a long time sheet player.
Frank D. has mentioned this strategy previously and might choose to elaborate.
And while I mention Frank---VERY nice simple play!!

As I looked back at your analysis, you chose to make a play against Keen Ice. You chose a key of #7
You also chose the correct contenders. 1,3,4,5 and 8.
You rated the 3 & 4 as "A" contenders. (also correct)
Your hypothetical bet was WP on the key #7 and exacta boxes with the contenders.

What if you were to redeploy the place $$.
The exacta box covers the place money.

Use the place money to create a triple with your key horse for third. i.e
A horses 3 and 4 over 13458 with the 7 for 3rd.
Then, a super bet with the 34/14358/13458/7

The tri cost $8 per $1 unit and the
The super cost $2.40 for a 10 cent unit.

It is a cheap hedge in the event your key horse runs 3rd or 4th. This is primarily recommended when you are keying a long shot.as your key.

In this case, the 10 cent super returned about $70.

This play is somewhat 'conviction' dependent and definitely 'odds' dependent.

Nice analysis and best of luck.

Bob



Subject Written By Posted
Donn Handicap (1623 Views) johnnym 02/06/2016 11:41AM
Re: Donn Handicap (933 Views) johnnym 02/06/2016 11:51AM
Re: Donn Handicap (1131 Views) FrankD. 02/06/2016 02:13PM
Re: Donn Handicap (893 Views) P-Dub 02/06/2016 02:30PM
Re: Donn Handicap (938 Views) johnnym 02/06/2016 03:07PM
Re: Donn Handicap (928 Views) belmont3 02/06/2016 03:23PM
Re: Donn Handicap (857 Views) johnnym 02/06/2016 06:04PM
Re: Donn Handicap (812 Views) belmont3 02/06/2016 11:27PM
Re: Donn Handicap (830 Views) johnnym 02/07/2016 09:10AM
Re: Donn Handicap (870 Views) FrankD. 02/07/2016 12:04PM
Re: Donn Handicap (784 Views) johnnym 02/07/2016 01:40PM
Re: Donn Handicap (772 Views) FrankD. 02/07/2016 02:46PM
Re: Donn Handicap (843 Views) belmont3 02/07/2016 05:34PM
Re: Donn Handicap (800 Views) Boscar Obarra 02/07/2016 09:38PM
Re: Donn Handicap (837 Views) Fairmount1 02/07/2016 11:01PM
Re: Donn Handicap (806 Views) FrankD. 02/08/2016 07:17AM
Re: Place Betting (891 Views) BitPlayer 02/08/2016 09:19AM
Re: Place Betting (879 Views) Boscar Obarra 02/08/2016 05:48PM
Re: Place Betting (880 Views) Mathcapper 02/08/2016 09:02PM
Re: Place Betting (993 Views) Mathcapper 02/08/2016 08:59PM
Re: Place Betting (881 Views) RICH 02/09/2016 05:44AM
Re: Place Betting (850 Views) richiebee 02/09/2016 08:28AM
Re: Place Betting (766 Views) johnnym 02/09/2016 08:43AM
Re: Place Betting (829 Views) Boscar Obarra 02/11/2016 10:33PM


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