Pimlico Special (859 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 12, 2004 06:37PM
I've had a chance to review two separate groups of figures for the "Special" now and courtesy of T-Graph the Race of the Week is the Special Also. I'm not sure who I'm going to bet yet or who the favorite will be, though morning line its Funny Cide. But what I do know, and I'll analyze it on T-Graph to stay in context, is this:
Midway Road just ran a phenomenal figure and he ran credibly in his only other Pimlico start, so those are positives. On the other hand these factors have to be considered:
-He just ran a Five Point Top over the same track he had earned his previous top apon (+1).
-that previous top was a 3.2 point top and thereafter he had a 3.2 point regression to (+4.2). Keep in mind he is set up for the same track and time off spacing as the last time he ran a top and regressed.
-That previous top seems to have set him back physically and if not he sure came up with some kind of malady with the amount of time away from the races.
-Additionally his other top efforts really dont put him in the ballpark with the majority of runners in this field if he doesnt' repeat or near repeat the scalding slop race last.
-Finally that new top was set in essentially uncontested fashion on a sloppy surface. The pace seems to indicate that Southern Image and Funny will both be at his throat latch where he was winging last.
To summarize, I think Midway LOVES Keeneland. The other point to his benefit is that he seems figure wise to be a better horse than he was at 3. But I certainly will be betting him to ricochet.
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