Preakness (801 Views)
Posted by:
MO (IP Logged)
Date: May 13, 2004 10:36AM
Lion Heart - Loved him in the Derby and got beat by a better, faster horse. Again, there is NOBODY to run with him early and the rail helps. Smith saves more ground than most here at Pimlico and of the 3 riders that save more ground than him, only one is riding a fast horse. At 3-1 he's an underlay.
Borrego - not a fast horse
Little Math - overmatched
The Cliffs Edge - probable scratch, however if he runs, a total throw out. I think the KEE race was a freak effort, one he cannot duplicate. His other races are too slow to win this.
Song Of The Sword - Same as TCE, except he probably will not scratch. LOL
Sir Shack - The better of Zito's 2 chances. Bejarano saves more ground than ANY other rider in here overall and at Pimlico. Horse might be 0-2-X ing. (So was SJ - LOL)
Smarty Jones - is a freak. Every race save his maiden is a 0 or faster. His last 3 are neg's, but it's only a 3 point forward move from his 2yo year. Lost more ground overall than LH and still beat him. SJ would have to have to encounter a catastrophic event in order to lose this.
Imperialism - post doesn't help and not fast enough.
Eddington - post hurts and is no faster than Imperialism. Will be an underlay at post time.
Rock Hard Ten - has drawn the Ten hole. Stevens' profile suggests a wide trip at Pimlico. RHT Is faster than Imp and Edd but will be an underlay at post time, possibly co-second choice with LH.
Water Cannon - overmatched
It's all Smarty Jones and Lion Heart thus, the race is a pass as there are no other horses with a chance offering any value.
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