Re: freak (608 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: May 16, 2004 01:36PM
Bccassidy-- If you take that position, SJ ran no better beating the Preakness field by 11 than he did winning the Derby by 3-- unlikely, even leaving aside all the factors I look at when coming up with figures.
Taking a fast look at the day (I'm a couple of days from doing it), you've got a group of horses a length apart who run in the 1 1/2 to 2 range, and if they did so here SJ ran back to his Rebel #. This also looks like it fits withe Schaeffer, but as I said, I haven't done the work yet.
CTC-- you are probably not going to see those track records, and not because SJ isn't good enough. Right now he has run 4 figures which are better than those run by anyone else of his crop, which is unheard of, and is by far the best 3yo since we've been making figures, and realistically by far the best of all time, but since I wasn't making figures before that I can't say so definitively. Before anyone starts invoking Secretariat's Belmont, read the "Are Racehorses Getting Faster" stuff in the archives here to see how much slower the sandboxes-- I mean tracks-- are now.
TGJB