It wasn't as much a statement about track condition as it was about the race being decided early. The track condition part only related to EXAG, I just think he'll take too much money if the conditions are off, and there may be some value in beating him.


I'm basing the race being over early on the my not giving any of the closers new tops for this race, and seeing two of these get away from the rest at an early stage. Yes EXAG will likely be closing, be he is the fastest closer and will probably move earliest of all.