Michael... I feel the same way and try not to look at the numbers in a historical comparison, you can really drive yourself crazy. You don't even have to go back to AP Indy, just go back to the 1997 Preakness when Silver Charm, Free House, and Captain Bodgit were all right there at the wire. Silver Charm got a Thorograph 3. It's just totally impossible for me to believe Rock Hard Ten and Eddington ran faster than Silver Charm, espcially considering they ran more than three seconds slower. The numbers may work mathematically with variants, etc. but logically, it seems way off.

Smarty Jones runs 1 mile at Oaklawn on a fast track in 137 3/5 2w2w and gets a TG 0. Has Oaklawn suddenly become a beach where 137 3/5 is a phenomenal time? Where Purge and Borrego and Pro Prado are also extremely fast compared to recent star horses?

I don't know what the answer is, but as long as horses like Mr. O'Brien with a TG 0" stand out at 11-1, I'll keep buying.