trainer stats plus (674 Views)
Posted by:
brokerstip (IP Logged)
Date: May 21, 2004 09:38AM
Have two questions. One regarding the new trainer figure based stats and the other related to figuremaking that is race specific.
1) When using the line related to races within a few points of the top or figures after a new top, what period of time is utilized?
Is it the lifetime top of the horse or a recent top within a period of time?
For example...5/19/04 Lones Star Race 8 #7 Goodies Galore.
Horse ran a top of 9 as a 2yo in Jun 03. Recent 3yo race is 12 1/2 in Apr 04. Relevant stat is "within 1 point of top".
Should that be 3 to 4 pts?
2) On rare occasion, I find horses all coming out the same race with figures that don't seem to fit.
Example: Lone Star 5/20/04 Race 6 turf.
4 horses all come off the same previous race on a yielding turf course at Lone Star.
#2 Whatalove-normal range 12-15
race in question #23 1/4.
#5 Bankrupe----normal range 13
race in question 24 1/2
#6 Classic Visit-normal range 15/17
race in question 23
#7 Fiery Nina----normal range 11 1/2-15
race in question 22.
It seems odd to me that all four of these horses bounced 8-12 pts off their normal range on the same day in the same race.
Is this a 'figure problem' or a function of the yielding turf course?
Note: thhe winner (#10) was running 12's and he nosed the 5 with the 1&7 also quite close (the #1 also ran 12ish).
So the race seems to fit that 11-15 range typical of these horses in the past.
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