I rarely consider pace in turf races and occasionally to my detriment, it matters. Could be Takeover Target gets bet down by the Chad & Joel fan clubs but I think this one is at a disadvantage.

The race is only one mile. Not a lot of stretch. Rosario will need to begin his run on the turn. Hard to find trouble in a six horse race but his timing will be critical as the pace is going to result in Obviously and King Kreesa separating at some point.

Appears to me that those two front runners could sneak off and steal (as they say) this race.