CtC,

Don't get me wrong, I think Smarty just may well win by the length of the stretch. I'm just of the opinion that Smarty has predominately dominated his races from just past the far turn to just into the stretch. Elliot has made that same move at every distance that has:
1) Put him at the throat of the pacesetter
2) allowed him to kick away from everyone else
3) have the race decided by mid-stretch

It actually reminds me of my favorite horse Best Pal in his 4 yr old year, when he was really good. He would make a huge move on the far turn and at the top of the stretch the race was over.

All I'm saying is, if makes that same move at around the same time, ala Real Quiet. Once he reaches mid-stretch, Victory Gallop er Hard Rock Ten may be hitting his best stride.

Or of course, Smarty can hit mid-stretch leading by 15 widening links and we can all get goose-bumps. lol