Re: Ky Downs (1007 Views)
Posted by:
Molesap (IP Logged)
Date: September 12, 2016 02:38AM
With horses coming from all over to take a shot at the big purses at Kentucky Downs, I thought I would look at the top three finishers of each race at the meet so far and what track they ran at last time. Part of this stems from my bias in that I think Southern California turf horses are generally a very weak lot, especially the routers, so I have been avoiding them when they run at KD. To satisfy my curiosity somewhat, I looked at horses that last ran in CA prior to starting at KD with their finish position and final odds. The CA horses have a record of 16-0-2-1 at the meet so far. I also looked at the first four days of the meet and tracked where each of the trifecta finishers last raced. What I found is fairly interesting. Almost 2/3 (66%) of the trifecta finishers raced at Elp, AP, Sar or Ind in their last race. Even more eye opening to me was that 72% (28/39) of the races were won by horses having last raced at Elp, AP or Sar. Of course the fields are often dominated by horses coming from Elp and it seemed like too big a task to actually count the number of horses from each venue in every race, but it does give some perspective of horses coming from different tracks.
Horses That Ran Their Last Race in CA (16-0-2-1)
Finish Position - Odds
2 - 3/1
2 - 9/1
3 - 3/1
4 - 5/2
5 - 19/1
6 - 5/1
6 - 39/1
6 - 4/1
7 - 7/2
7 - 10/1
7 - 9/2
8 - 6/1
8 - 8/1
9 - 8/1
9 - 7/1
11 - 131/1
Last Track for Top Three Finishers
Track - Win-Place-Show
Elp - 12-7-8
AP - 9-7-3
Sar - 7-3-7
Ind - 2-5-6
Mnr - 2-1-1
Debut - 1-2-2
WO - 1-1-1
Mth - 1-1-1
Prx - 1-0-1
Pid - 1-0-0
Lrl - 1-0-0
Kee - 1-0-0
CD - 0-3-3
Dmr - 0-2-1
OP - 0-2-0
Del - 0-1-1
Bel - 0-1-0
GP - 0-1-0
FG - 0-1-0
Suf - 0-0-2
Btp - 0-0-1
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.