An interesting read, but too many holes in the article to put too much thought into it, if you are a serious player. (my wife would find it interesting reading - and that is not a chauvinist statement, she just isn't a horse player)

1. Saying that 5 to 10% of players beat the game is stupid. Anybody that plays this game should know that isn't true.

2. Not sure that Frosted got "track biased" wins in both the Met Mile and Whitney. (and how does that tie into the "bounce" argument he is trying to make?

3. Frosted didn't get an "easy lead" in the Whitney. Just not accurate.

4. His conclusion, that based on Thorograph figures, he saw the bounce coming in the Woodward, likely was wrong, at least the theory. I say "likely" because I haven't see the TG figure ,but based on the Beyer figure, the ground loss and weights, I am pretty sure TGJB isn't giving Frosted a bounce from the Whitney figure. (I do think he regressed, as debated here in another post, but it won't show in the fig. An unalert start and loss of tactical speed are both signs of form regression that don't necessarily get calculated into a figure.

Jim