Re: ROTW - Pebbles (877 Views)
Posted by:
Tavasco (IP Logged)
Date: October 15, 2016 03:06PM
The aforementioned view of a crowd at the finish line reminds me of how often my view of the race is contradicted by the actual results. Yet such a finish will be fun for some.
My view is a simple one. Only two of the contenders have run a 6 in a route on the turf. [b]Stella Rose[/b] and [b]Believe in Bertie[/b]. [b]Stella Rose[/b] looks poised to improve and [b]BiB[/b] just needs to avoid a regression. I'll dutch the two.
My compliments to the ROTW analysis. I consider it very comprehensive. Yet I am mildly perplexed by the apparent lack of consideration for figures earned at sprint vs route distances. e.g. I'm suspicious that both [b]Welcoming[/b] & [b]Instant Erma[/b] won't be around at the finish line. Opting to believe in a runner's results rather than depend on pedigree supposition.
If FrankD is correct about drawing a line thru Chad Brown's [b]Ancient Secret[/b] it'll just be another race win that leaves me disappointed. Her last race failure is curious. I suppose bounced with rest is plausible. I could use her defensively in the top spot over my choices, but will not preferring instead to keep it simple here and preserve my doubt about nefarious activities.
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