Re: Jerry - updated/edited (1106 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: December 01, 2016 01:49PM
It's co-biggest this year (the mandy payout at GP this spring was almost the exact same amount, though this also has some pick 5s).
I didn't do the analysis. On wet tracks I tend to like horses that figure to run well rather than ones that are just fast. Horses looking for an excuse to not try will find one with off tracks, high winds, extreme cold, and distance switches. That means horses off tops, ones on short rest off an efort, ones that look like they might be tailing off. (Similar to horses dealing with shipping to the BC).
The bomb in the sequence looked like he was ready to throw a good one, for him. There were several in the race with good figures (I went 5 deep in the pick 6) but questionable patterns. I thought he was much more likely to get into the exotics than win, and played the race accordingly (small win bet, heavy underneath). We'll see what the figures come up, my guess is most others did not fire.