Some Considerations:

1. Could be the 4 hurt GORMLEY and he is heading in the wrong direction. I saw his BC flop as more than just a poor start. He will have plenty of company up front in the SHAM.

2. COLONEL SAMSEN his delay in the stretch during his last race isn't reflected in his fourth 11. I'll speculate and subtract a point to 10 suggesting to me he is improving. With little or no traffic at the rear of the pack unlikely to lose much ground. Likely to run his race and 4th would be OK super. Dirt is a concern.

3. BIRD IS THE WORD, the Analysis key for 3rd makes good sense. Yet, leading a turf race all the way around in :48 and change is not as taxing as going sub :46 consequently I don't think the BIRD will be a player in the stretch or Tri and I wonder how much value a 3rd will actually produce behind two 8/5 horses?

I'll try the analysis bet because it is a mathematically elegant solution to a race I seem to want to make more complicated. So my shotgun bet will be AMERICAN ANTHEM / BIG HIT / All / COLONEL SAMSEN