Kee 4/17: The Lexington (689 Views)
Posted by:
Michael D. (IP Logged)
Date: April 17, 2004 11:55AM
tiger heart: needs big improvement off last route. another "7" or so predicted.
song: short rest. could bounce a bit, run a "3" and contend. top 4 showing expected.
gamblin: too slow.
pomeroy: pointed towards this for a while (as opposed to most here). pace scenerio works against however. looking for a big jump when cutting back, expecting a repeat of last stretching out a bit. underneath only.
suave: tough stretch of races here. probably the best animal in the race, but the timing anf kee strip might prevent him improving just yet. another "3" o so expected. contender.
fire: speedball kee strip is just what he needs. with the nice timing coming in, i guess he has a chance, but i'm only predicting a slight improvement off his last two races. run in the "4-5" is predicted. tough to use on top at low odds.
boom: tough timing coming in for this speedball. the last two must have taken something out of him. still, if the kee track is playing fast, this one can out sprint the rest of the sprinters, and improve a bit off last two (a toss if the track is looking even a bit heavy). looking for a 1 pt jump to the "3" lvl. contender.
dashboard: pace scenerio works in favor big time. should like the kee strip. nice timing, but the stretch out might leave him at the same lvl as last. lookin for better cutting back, a repeat of last today.
race: no
quinton: new trainer will have this guy running pretty fast eventually, but a 2 wk rest of that last race?? could ruin a good horse with false derby dreams. "3-4" predicted, as the horse should like the small cut back and the kee strip. with decent rest, i could see this horse running in the negative range at kee in the fall.
bride's: liked GP, should like kee. stretch out should not hurt, ran his last 1/8 in 12:2 last. last fig puts him right there. 20-1 ml, won't be the odds today. predicting a repeat of last.
el prado rob: looks a bit slow, but obviously like kee. pace scenerio works in his favor, but might find some trouble with 14 horses and the wide post. might run a "3-4", but the trip may cost him a showing.
tp: looking for a small jump here, which is not good enough.
sc: post is a killer. could run another "3" or so, lose ground, and finish out of the money.
a lot of contenders here, so i must take a stand somewhere. the 11 repeats his last and wins. if the track is quick, i will use the 7 in the second slots, then use the 2,5,10 behind (second and third). good luck everybody!!