Wasn't it your bright idea that today's result didn't mean a thing? Seems like you've been hedging your argument.

Look it's about pace in the race etc, these turfers are consistent and that's why it makes sense to project more, i.e use the horses history. This approach gets close to regression analysis. And then one look at the more traditional stuff as well, the point is to find the most likely correct description of how good a performance has been. It's simply a question of methodology. It's not perfect and the method has its problems, but if you tried to do it your way you wouldn't be doing it any longer after a couple of weeks. You can't really knock the TG turf figures either if you tried to learn how to use them, they are excellent.

I'm not discussing this particular case by the way, sometimes you get it a point or two wrong, it happens. It has nothing to do with being hammered but you got to use the data you have at your hands, at the time. Later, with new information, one can correct if necessary. That happens too.