ROTW (566 Views)
Posted by:
derby1592 (IP Logged)
Date: March 04, 2005 11:24PM
Another nice job on the ROTW regarless of the outcome.
I pretty much agree with the analysis with one exception. I am more positive on Borrego.
He has run a top the second time out after a break or freshening the last 3 times (only 3 times) he has had the opportunity and his last was clearly a prep and he won the race easily from off the pace so the poor figure may be a bit misleading and is probably not as bad as it looks. He also followed that bench effort up with a sparkling work (for a horse that is a so-so work horse at best). So I think there is a good chance that he will run a big one tomorrow and, at the weights, he is faster than all but the Saint and Garret Gomez will likely manage a rail trip from the 2-hole. He also appears to have the best closing kick in the field so the added distance going 10f should suit him nicely. Finally, if the track is off, it should only help him out. The 30/1 morning line sure looks generous to me...
Good luck to all.
Chris
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