Re: Down goes Friedman, Down goes Friedman (467 Views)
Date: July 19, 2004 09:29AM
Personally, I think it would be great publicity for both, but I don't think it's really possible to have a contest that would settle anything about the figures themselves. First, it would have to be VERY long in order to be statistically significant. Second, it might actually say more about handicapping and betting skill than the accuracy of figures.
It might actually be easier to have a systemized contest and take the handicapping skill and time required out of the mix.
Why not just look at the top figure for every single race covered over a 6 month period and look at the win percentages?
You could look at grand totals, individual circuits, sprints, routes, turf, last race mud etc...
I believe that with all subjective elements of handicapping removed, something as simple as win percentage for "top figure" would tell us who is making the more accurate figures.
You would want to leave out ROI because that could be the result of infuence on the board, which would be a seperate issue.
Post Edited (07-19-04 12:01)