Re: No ROTW (1109 Views)
Posted by:
Mike C (IP Logged)
Date: March 16, 2018 07:33PM
I'm new to posting here, but I have been a reader for a long time I have been handicapping using speed figures since Ragozin's were hand written. I switched over to Thorograph years ago originally because i was able to get them online, but once i started using them I liked them more and have been using them since. I will take a shot at the 8th at Oaklawn, the Oaklawn Park Stakes at 1 mile on dirt. I see these as the main contenders:
Hedge Fund-jumped to a new top last april and backed up a month later. new top ist time out this year 4 weeks ago. don't expect him to move forward again, more likely a pair or a small back up. At 4-1 morning line he is contender, but there are several faster I like better.
Petrov-while fast, the distance is a question.His only tries at a distance were his worst two figures
Untrapped-Really nice line; small new top in sept at Remington Park, then he pairs that and moves forward 2 more points january over this track. Small backward move in last, figures to get back to his top tomorrow. Contender 5-1 morning line
Dazzling Gem-the fastest horse in the race, by a small margin, comes off a pair of "off" races (compared to his top) I see him having to run wide and lose lots of ground, so also a contender but at a shorter price
Leofric-pair of new tops last 2 races, competitive, but at 5 he is lightly raced, only a few races before a gap, don't really like him, looking for him to back up a little, at least, and he is another who I think will lose ground on the turns.
Dalmore-coming in off a 3+ point new top, bounce candidate
Thirstforlife-another fast horse coming off a new top, albeit a small one, he would need to pair that last one up, and he certainly could, but from the outside a wide trip is likely. But at 12-1 he is worth a look
Multiplier-At first glance I thought that his line looked flat, but on a second look, I like the line, and the last sprint (just a workout?) But he'll be wide, and would need a giant move forward to contend here, so I like him to hit the money, so I will use him in the triples
Selections:
Untrapped is my key, i'm using Thirstforlife, Dazzling Gem, and Multiplier underneath