I think this is great analysis, and I will pour over it when I have a little more time. You're better than many racing writers! And you really hit on something important regarding the time off--I absolutely agree with you on that. Though time off is still not the same as NOT racing at two. The racing experience at two helps a horse mature and the stress of the racing, if not too intense, helps their bones develop and builds a solid frame that can withstand the punishment of a three year old campaign. By the way, if you search for quotes, you'll find Baffert also puts Justify in the same league with Arrogate and AP regarding those qualities you point to, stamina and stride, etc. He's said it on more than one occasion. I tend to take his words at face value. Unlike most trainers, he's pretty straight with the press. I felt AP's time off was precisely why he endured the triple crown races; his injury turned into a blessing. Maybe more trainers will apply these parameters, who knows? Probably not Pletcher though! Great work here. I would love to see thorograph numbers worked into the above analysis as well and compared with Justify.