Never said Justify was an average champion, quite the opposite going less than 10F. If there are distance concerns (you never really know going 12F until they run) and he sets the early fractions that he has in previous races--chances are he can be run down. Especially with the quality runners that have been pointing to this race like Hoffburg, Vino Rosso, etc.

Back to the ROTW. Between the scratch of Pure Sensation and horses entered on the wrong surface I like Pool Winner. He seems to be in form with nice spacing between races, a trainer that does well at Penn and of course one of the fastest numbers in the race if he at least pairs.