Silver Charm wrote:

"I guess when you see a lightly raced 3YO this time of year (and spring) working only once between races there is cause for concern."

Silver Charm: Believing stats that you read on the Rags board is usually a mistake.

Believing things like this (from the Rags board yesterday):

"Rule: Play no Motion horse who hasn’t worked twice since his last race. They don’t win."

...is completely insane. This statement is ludicrous on its face. You don't even need to look it up. But if you did look it up, you would find that it is complete nonsense.

Whenever you see a statement like that one and it is not connected to the number of days since the horse's last start, flush it down the toilet.

And if you ever see a stat on the Rags board and Hoarse Whisperer thinks it is true, or thinks it might be true, or refuses to rule it out entirely, flush it down the toilet--because it is false and almost certainly absurd.