Monomoy Marginal Money (1113 Views)
Posted by:
Mathcapper (IP Logged)
Date: July 22, 2018 08:50PM
$$$
Monomoy Girl was just over even money going into the gate for the Oaks. She was 1/2 in the Will Pays, so she figured to take a drop in the last few moments, and indeed she did.
A total of $545K had been bet in the win pool as the horses loaded. Another $214K was bet in the last flash, which represented 28% of the final $760K win pool. [b]$170K of that last $214K (80% of the marginal pool)[/b] was bet on MG to win, with only $44K bet on all the other contenders combined, including only $25K on Midnight Bisou, who up to that point had been the 3/5 favorite. That equated to marginal odds on MG of around 1/25 (that’s one-to-twenty five), with the next highest marginal odds being MB at 6-1.
That’s some serious last-minute money.
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