It's extremely hard to tell, even with several having run back. First of all it's an about distance with a 12 foot rail up, and the only race run at that distance all day, with lightly raced 2yos and first time starters. But the few that have run back are all over the place. Second finisher came back to run 9 3/4, but on dirt.

It's gonna take a while to nail down, but I think it's probably decent, like 12 or better.