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Re: Stronach Pick-5... (1280 Views)
Posted by: Mathcapper (IP Logged)
Date: September 28, 2018 02:51AM

Fairmount1 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> With wagering minimums watered down, I have to
> disagree. There are plenty of low takeout p5
> wagers out there on a daily basis for fifty cents.
>
>
> This one has the low takeout of 12 percent and the
> higher minimum forces better decision making
> rather than spread, spread, spread at the low
> minimum. With $2 Pick 6's likely to disappear
> sooner than later except on the biggest days of
> the year due to jackpot greed by the racetracks,
> this is a welcome wager I will certainly agree.
> The result will be higher payoffs as compared to
> parlay than the fifty cent varieties. Rocky can
> you weigh in with a more intelligent explanation
> here?
>

Mathematically (and from what I've observed empirically), it makes no difference -- the invisible hand of the market tends to drive payouts towards what's expected based on the takeout-adjusted win parlays, regardless of minimum bet size.

The only exception might be when dealing with winning sequences comprised of long-priced combos in very small pools for which there might otherwise be no winning tickets if not for the smaller bet size. This will probably rarely be the case with this bet however, considering the industry-low takeout which will likely attract strong betting interest.

On the whole though, a lower minimum bet benefits anyone who's not a "big fish" since it levels the playing field by enabling smaller players to compete with the same fully fleshed out tickets as the whales. It also used to help prevent Uncle Sam from confiscating a player's gross winnings when the payout exceeded the $5,000 threshold, but with the new IRS withholding rules being based on total wager amount rather than base bet that's no longer a concern.

The only time you really see small minimum bet sizes creating the kind of spreading that produces payouts that diverge with some regularity from what's expected based on the takeout-adjusted parlays is with the jackpot wagers. And that's actually a boon to astute handicappers since the jackpot chasers produce overlaid prices on logical contenders as a result of their rampant spreading.

The point about higher minimums forcing better decision-making and reducing sloppy betting practices is another matter -- that speaks to the importance of sound betting strategy and money management, which should of course be done regardless of minimum bet size.



Subject Written By Posted
Stronach Pick-5... (1634 Views) JohnTChance 09/26/2018 02:22PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (1188 Views) Fairmount1 09/26/2018 10:20PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (782 Views) IK 09/27/2018 06:49AM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (818 Views) TGAB 09/27/2018 06:31PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (731 Views) IK 09/28/2018 05:52AM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (1280 Views) Mathcapper 09/28/2018 02:51AM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (841 Views) Fairmount1 09/28/2018 02:11PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (731 Views) kindbud777 09/28/2018 04:32PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (710 Views) Fairmount1 09/28/2018 09:09PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (786 Views) Mathcapper 09/29/2018 01:37AM
Re: Stronach Pick-5... (722 Views) hellersorr 09/29/2018 08:19PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5 -- On Parlays and the Power of Multirace Exotics (1444 Views) Mathcapper 09/30/2018 11:58PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5 -- On Parlays and the Power of Multirace Exotics (644 Views) grinder 10/01/2018 05:36AM
Re: Stronach Pick-5 -- On Parlays and the Power of Multirace Exotics (565 Views) Boscar Obarra 10/01/2018 04:40PM
Re: Stronach Pick-5 -- On Parlays and the Power of Multirace Exotics (615 Views) hellersorr 10/01/2018 05:21PM


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