Re: Mark Hopkins interview (427 Views)
Date: August 24, 2004 03:07PM
Silver,
>Where else but on TG can a horse with back-to-back 80 Beyers be just as competiive with horses who have run in the low 90's. If someone wants me to concede that a 110 Beyer is just as reliable and therefore useful as a Neg 2 on TG, then you can have that.>
I think I'm going to have to disagree with you on this one. What you are saying is true, but I believe most "serious" handicappers that use Beyers are in fact making subjective adjustments to the raw figures to measure the ability of the horse.
TG players may see something -2 vs. -2.
Beyer players see:
Beyer 105 with trips notes of: 2w into fast pace 1st turn, took lead, rail back used hard, inside second turn weakened. Bias = None.
vs.
Beyer 96 with trip notes of: 3w first turn behind fast pace, 3w back, swung out 6w late second turn hung. Bias = GR+
Then they subjectively evaluate the 105 and 96 earned under these conditions/trips and try to decide who actually ran better. Some may also look at weight changes.
IMO, only beginners looks at the raw Beyers and assume they tell the whole tale of performance. It's simply a speed figure "before" any trip related info.
Post Edited (08-24-04 15:27)