Re: Take Me To The River (386 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: September 07, 2004 04:53PM
There was an even money favorite that was more than 7 points slower than 2 other horses going in. That's what made it a good betting race. However you played it-- win bet on the most likely winner, box of the two fast horses (I did both) you cashed. Yes, the favorite figured to improve (and since he lost a photo for second, did), but you started out with a tremendous edge, patterns or no patterns.
I posted here that it was one of three races I loved-- the other two being ROTW and DMR Derby. It was the only one I hit, but that's not the point-- you give me Scipion, Tapit and Blackdoun to bet against at those prices 3 times a day and I'll be a happy guy.
This goes to a point Chris and others made over the weekend, about worrying about whether a horse is "too long"-- the first thing I look for (and you will see it more often than not in ROTW), is a bad favorite. Those horses will be on an extremely high percentage of the exotic tickets-- if I can throw them out, I know I have a huge edge in the race, just for starters.
TGJB
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