Is there data available that shows a horse’s chance of bouncing after running a new top while achieving that new top while winning a race in hand, by open lengths, versus running a new top in a grueling effort in an all out drive?

Is a horse less likely to retreat if he wins in hand? Thoughts?

I feel like a new top is just that , regardless of the winning margin or the riders encouragement. Running fast is running fast. Any thoughts on Tiz the Laws next figure. Steve Haskin’s replacement thinks the effort in the Travers left some in the tank, according to the figures he listed, everyone excepts TG’s, so assuming he ran a new top last out.