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 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
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Re: 1:50.08 (257 Views)
Posted by: Fairmount1 (IP Logged)
Date: April 07, 2024 04:14PM

Always Dreaming 4.70-1
Irish War Cry 4.80-1

The 2005 Derby is a similar scenario I feel like. Bellamy Road was coming in with a monster Beyer (120) compared to the rest and with a closer to the pace style. Afleet Alex was coming in from the OP road to the Derby but coming from further back as far as a running style. He won the Ark Derby by 8 lengths and had a 108 Beyer. This is a 12 point difference just like Fierceness and Sierra Leone.

2005
Bellamy Road, 2.60-1
Afleet Alex, 4.50-1.

I also think an inside post/post inside of other speed types could increase Fierceness odds a bit. The gamblers are just sharper these days even on the bigger days.

A recent Derby with potential similar off odds despite not a similar scenario would be the 2021 Derby.

Essential Quality, 2.90-1
Rock Your World, 4.70-1



Subject Written By Posted
1:50.08 (357 Views) prist 04/07/2024 12:16PM
Re: 1:50.08 (350 Views) Fairmount1 04/07/2024 12:28PM
Re: 1:50.08 (318 Views) TGJB 04/07/2024 12:55PM
Re: 1:50.08 (274 Views) Fairmount1 04/07/2024 01:15PM
Re: 1:50.08 (254 Views) johnnym 04/07/2024 01:49PM
Re: 1:50.08 (257 Views) Fairmount1 04/07/2024 04:14PM
Re: 1:50.08 (244 Views) Tavasco 04/07/2024 03:33PM
Re: 1:50.08 (239 Views) ajkreider 04/07/2024 05:20PM


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