This is going to be a sprint to the first turn I don’t see Fierceness winning. There are other .23 quarter milers inside of him. If he isn’t wide he ran the first quarter too fast. I think he’s a miler like his dad. He reminds of Quality Road. I also think he’s not going to be persevered with to the end. He also reminds me of Essential Quality.

Just watched the Bay Shore replay. I don’t know how big Fierceness is but I think he can be intimidated. He got bumped around at the start and got rank. He ran at Hades and Hades put him away. There was no fight once Hades regained the lead.

I think this race is going to play out more like the Louisiana Derby. .23 contested first quarter. I don’t like any of them in that group.

Catching Freedom finishes. Sierra Leone looked good in the Bluegrass but Chad’s horses seem to top out in their final prep. Have any of his horses ever moved forward in the Derby? Same with Cox. Hoping this time is different.

I can’t get a good handle on Forever Young. I think one of the best points in the seminar was that the trainer ships in to win. I’m betting he’s around at the finish.

Endlessly is improving and comes in from a good trainer and a synthetic to dirt angle which has yielded some of the larger jump ups.

Honor Marie and Stronghold round out my top 6.