Re: Race 9 American turf (480 Views)
Posted by:
P-Dub (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2024 11:46PM
#4 Formidable Man. I'll toss the San Vicente, he looks pretty good running a very nice number last out. It was a pretty big move forward, but he's had 5 weeks. Can be forwardly placed and get a jump on the closers. An absolute use for me at 15/1ML
#5 Appleby horse with fast Euro numbers. In a big field I'll see if I can beat him, a must use on any horizontal ticket as the favorite
#6 Neat ran well over a yielding turf 2 back, backed up last time. For me an underlay at that 6/1 ML
#7 Stay Hot paired both 3YO numbers, at some point he'll move forward. Right now he's a touch slower, but if he does move forward he can spice up the verticals. Fresu a really solid jock and he's 10/1 ML.
#8 Lord Bullington has run 2 solid numbers his last 2, and has some solid late fractions if the front ones back up. Another at a nice ML number 15/1
#11 Cugino 10/1ML broke thru that fast debut number last out. Gets blinkers as I'm guessing Shug wants him to focus and finish a bit better. 3 place finishes and a win in 4 starts.
#13 Can Group 15/1ML take out the Stakes dirt route and he looks pretty decent. Solid turf number albeit ground loaded last out. Seems like a minor awards horse here
#14 Agate Road 5/1ML ran 2 fast dirt races, but his turf numbers are meh. An absolute underlay for me here
14 horse field, I mentioned 8 with 2 I consider underlays.
That leaves 6 horses as contenders
#4 Formidable Man 15/1ML
#5 Legend Of Time 7/2ML
#7 Stay Hot 10/1ML
#8 Lord Bullington 15/1ML
#11 Cugino 10/1ML
#13 Can Group 15/1ML
The tote will clear things up on race day. As of now, if I had to pick a horse or 2..........
#4 Formidable Man has run against graded company twice with dismal results. That should help the price. Would like to have Saez take back a bit and not engage the front runners. If he can sit in the pocket and stays clear, he gets first run and can hold them off unless the Euro does what Euros do when they come here for a turf race. Which is explode like a friggin rocket down the stretch
P-Dub