To Chuckles and HP (403 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: October 31, 2004 10:32AM
Chuckles,
I haven't been using the T-Graph sheets too long. Would you mind explaining why you think that Ghostzapper's pattern is "one of the weirdest race patterns" you've seen. He was the fastest horse coming in, having paired up negative 6.5's. He was fast last year, having run negative 3 and 4. If he bounced 3 or even 4 points, he probably was still going to win.
HP,
Not sure why you thought Ghostzapper was going to "get baked" when you saw the fractions. 23.2 and 47, for that horse on that track, were definitely not fast. He was my biggest bet of the day (had 5-1 on him in a bet I made last week) and with each fraction that posted, I was more confident. I am not saying he won because the pace was slow, but any pre-race concerns about suicidal pace duels were gone by the first quarter mile split. That 23.2 was run in a complete straighaway, like the Derby is run. You would expect with Roses in May, Azeri, Funny Cide and possibly Newfoundland gunning, that it was likely to be sub 23.
Bottom line is that the numbers were right on this guy. JB and Beyer agreed (I don't know about Ragozin) that this was the fastest horse in the last 20/30 years. Why shouldn't he win?