Re: Good job on the ROTW (521 Views)
Posted by:
beyerguy (IP Logged)
Date: December 07, 2004 02:57PM
I would say just because a horse wins doesn't mean a handicapper misjudged the horse if he calls him an underlay. Otherwise, after every race, you could say the winner should have been 1-20 on my line.
I'll give an example, lets say Host had won because he snuck through on the hedge while Silver was 3 wide on one turn and 4 wide on the next, and nearly ran down Host anyway. In that case, Silver was clearly the better horse, and Host might have been an underlay at 8-5.
I thought Host was absolutely dominant in this field for a few reasons, which don't matter much for this discussion. In this one, individual case, I was proven right in my opinion when he won despite have a much tougher trip than the runner up.
To set an odds line before the race is imperative for me, and probably most successful bettors. Of course, I am wrong many times, just as the Race of the Week is right many times, just not recently. I just disagreed with the analysis, before the race, and stated as much. For a few guys to then try to say the Analysis was spot on is a bit much, that's all.
Its one race, doesn't amount to much in the long run, but please don't come on like a couple of minions and try to tell us how right on the ROTW was when it wasn't. Anyone who bothers to read it, as I do every week because I always like to see what other good handicappers think, would know that it was off this week.