I've been enjoying the ROTW and have utilized it to bolster my handicapping or confirm my numbers and selection. But for the first time, I'm delving into the statistics that are included. When I bought tgraph in the Early Nineties these things weren't here. And when I've reviewed the ROTW here, I've looked primarily at the figure or TGraphs call of wide.

I just found the "Thoro Pattern" and though I've been aware of Tops, Pairs, Offs and X's, this is an interesting application of form, all statistically based.

I'm also taken aback by the Jockey paths. I'm familiar with ROI issues. But the average path is very interesting. Its close for some but theres variances that make for some thought.

Another jockey issue I've been deliberating for instance is Albarado going with Storm Surge after winning on Biloxi. One reason I contemplated was that Stewart is a local trainer and that Albarado is gonna stay in good graces with him if he stays with the horse. The Tgraph info confirms Albarado is very fond of the Fairgrounds and Stewart has signifcantly more starters there than Peitz. Which is not to say that Albarado doesnt' consider Storm the better horse.

I'm still trying to figure out the easiest way to use the expansive "RUNS BASED" index. I guess its to look for good big numbers TOP/PAIR in the column and then figure out if the entry is in that category today. Or to do the opposite. Look for bad big numbers in X/OFF and figure out if the horse is in that category today.

TGJB caught me on the breeding and as marginally important as it is, I'm pretty good at it. I'll have to keep this in mind for where its significance increases. In the Lecomte its 2 to 3 yr old improvement of course.

Later... I just realized TGraph has highligted certain "RUNS BASED" percentages. I have some questions specifically as they apply to Storm Surge in the Lecomte:

-One of Stewarts weakest categories appears to be "Dec 2 yr old year to Feb" 40% of his starters X there, why isn't this number highlighted? This is a 3yr old January start.

-Why is "3rd Race Off Layoff" highlighted, this is the fourth race. Same for "2nd race off layoff"

Am I seeing highlighting that doesnt exist?

Very Interesting Data

CtC



Post Edited (01-13-05 23:34)