Re: GP 1/29: R10 (SM Classic) (382 Views)
Posted by:
TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: January 30, 2005 03:05PM
I didn't do the analysis, but I ended up making a 4 horse box (running 2-3), and betting both Zackocity (small) and Stockholder (less small) to win. My thinking on SH was that if he ran his top he would probably win (not necessarily true of CG), and that second off a layoff, with a solid pattern at three, and Mott spotting him ambitiously (this was an obvious spot for CG, not for SH), there was a decent chance he would run his best. Also, in CG's case the secondary tops were further away from his top, and he did a whole lot more developing to get there, making it more likely the effort had hurt.
Problem with SH, of course, is that long layoff. The right time to play horses with soundness issues is usually when they are fresh (Da Hoss, etc.), but it didn't work this time.
TGJB