Re: GP today: 02/05 (360 Views)
Posted by:
Mall (IP Logged)
Date: February 05, 2005 11:22AM
Well done, old chap. It appears you made it okay & have figured out how to bet the card, which is a good thing considering the prices over there. $10.50 for a pack of smokes seems a little high even by ny stds.
You got most or all of the logical ones covered, so I'll limit my comments to the shots that have some kind of chance, since while I agree with your assessment that it is a great card, it's not going to be a profitable card for moi if Pletcher does as well as you're anticipating.
R1: Norfield might be closer to the pace today than most will anticipate, & am willing to take a chance he improves a little on his 1st fast track at 15-1.(re your comment, remind me to ask you a question about whether JB should still be considered one of the big 3 when you get back.)
R2: Mott's horse appears to be approaching stick out status, given the way he finished 1L in his last, but I think you're on to something with Miracle Man. Starting in the one hole on the turn at CD & circling the field to win at 5f in a debut effort leads me to believe that this horse might be a lot better than any numbers would indicate.
R4: As long as the odds are there, I've always been a fan of the throw out last play. Alexandersrun & Rationalexuberance fit the bill here.
R5: At 6-1, Vicarage makes sense to me as well, but Devil At Sea's ability to contest very fast fractions & still finish okay in his last is interesting, as I'm guessing he might get loose. I don't factor jocks in as a positive as much as you do, but there are certain ones I try to avoid, like Santos, which makes this a tough play for me unless the odds drift up some from his 6-1ML.
R7: Monopoly Pricing, General Jumbo, & to a somewhat lesser degree War Tempo, all look pretty live to me, so this is not one I'll be passing. And if he happens to draw in, LETTERMAN'S HUMOR OWES DERBY1592 MONEY!!!
R8: At the right price, I'm an even bigger fan of the throw out the last two school of thinking. These are very good horses, but I'm not sure they would stack up all that well against Pico Central. At 20-1 or higher, I'm willing to gamble that Voodoo might fire today & get a piece of this one.
R11: The only one you skipped, & it might be the best gambling race on the card. Romolo's a logical place to land, but Rythmic Motion alone, along with a little Move Those Chains, will likely determine what kind of day I have.
Good Luck to you as well. Enjoy your trip & have a safe journey home.
GP today: 02/05 (752 Views)
|
Michael D. |
02/05/2005 07:53AM |
Re: GP today: 02/05 (357 Views)
|
shanahan |
02/05/2005 10:05AM |
Re: GP today: 02/05 (360 Views) |
Mall |
02/05/2005 11:22AM |
Re: GP today: 02/05 (354 Views)
|
Michael D. |
02/05/2005 12:02PM |
mall, you around? (329 Views)
|
Michael D. |
04/06/2005 03:44PM |
Re: mall, you around? (342 Views)
|
TGJB |
04/06/2005 03:49PM |
Re: mall, you around? (350 Views)
|
Michael D. |
04/06/2005 04:00PM |
Re: mall, you around? (376 Views)
|
NoCarolinaTony |
04/06/2005 07:01PM |
Re: mall, you around? (389 Views)
|
Mall |
04/07/2005 06:22AM |
Re: mall, you around? (385 Views)
|
TGJB |
04/07/2005 12:35PM |
Re: mall, you around? (362 Views)
|
Silver Charm |
04/07/2005 02:02PM |
Re: mall, you around? (354 Views)
|
TGJB |
04/07/2005 02:25PM |
Re: mall, you around? (419 Views)
|
NoCarolinaTony |
04/07/2005 08:23PM |
Re: mall, you around? (389 Views)
|
Mall |
04/08/2005 08:48AM |
Re: mall, you around? (376 Views)
|
Michael D. |
04/08/2005 06:49PM |
Re: mall, you around? (380 Views)
|
Mall |
04/09/2005 08:38AM |
Re: mall, you around? (343 Views)
|
NoCarolinaTony |
04/11/2005 04:54PM |
Re: GP today: 02/05 (387 Views)
|
JEB |
02/05/2005 02:31PM |