i was going to handicap all of the stks races, but i took a quick look and i don't think i can beat the favorites.

R7: summerly looks like the real deal. asmussen usually has them cranked for these early preps. enduring can improve a lot here, but the odds won't be generous, and the 122 lbs won't help.

R8: four or five of these could win this. if the 2 scratches to run in the other stks, wanderin boy might get the perfect trip and be tough at 113 lbs. pollard's vision might be ready to go off the layoff, tough to leave him out.

R9: harlington is a huge horse, looks like unbridled to me. not sure if he will like the tight turns, and post 10 hurts, but leave him out? i can't, like the barn and jock too much. have to just watch it. i have bet iced out in his last two (close second both times at 10-1). i guess he could come running late again. rush bay looks like a nice horse to me. i bet him last out, and he ran a decent second at 5-1. post 11 is a killer.

i got the #'s for R6 just to see what parker run looks like. he looks a bit slow, but i might take a shot anyway at ml of 10-1. first time out he ran a very nice "7" going 5 1/2 on turf, then they stretched him out for his next five races. cut back to 5 1/2 on dec 7 and matched his first out #, and improved last while getting caught behind the bunch on the turn. rider switch to JR, nice inside post, and 114 lbs... needs to jump another few points, but as a lightly raced four year old, i guess he could. key at decent odds.



Post Edited (02-12-05 09:46)