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Re: BSF's Already Narrow Derby Possibles (377 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: February 20, 2005 12:28PM

I loved it.

I would point out that if the crop and/or triple crown nominee size has been severely compromised by MRLS, then it makes perfect sense that the crops of 3 years olds would be getting weaker. Outside of Smarty, I thought last year's crop was pretty dreadful. Late year performances against older horses supported that point of view.

So perhaps, instead of making "100" the magic bullet Beyer cutoff number, it might be better to make it "95" (or some other arbitrary one) to account for lower expectations.

I am sure a similar analysis can be done with TG figures and it might shed more light on the subject.

By the way, I believe this crop has also been been pretty dreadful "so far" other than a few horses that have shown significant ability in sprints, but may be suspect at the classic distances. Someone will win though - even if they aren't as good as some past winners.



Subject Written By Posted
BSF's Already Narrow Derby Possibles (745 Views) Kasept 02/20/2005 11:57AM
Re: BSF's Already Narrow Derby Possibles (390 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 02/20/2005 12:24PM
Re: BSF's Already Narrow Derby Possibles (377 Views) 02/20/2005 12:28PM
Re: BSF's Already Narrow Derby Possibles (423 Views) spa 02/20/2005 12:36PM


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