Looking at the derby sheets and comparing them with the sheets of prior derby horses who jumped in the exotics, I think I’m starting to come around to Lone Sailor as a candidate to come off the pace and hit the board at a price.

He paired his 2YO top in the allowance race in February and then came back to run a new top in the LA Derby, which is encouraging considering the timing and that he didn’t appear to fan out too wide.

... is this a kind of pattern we’re looking for or would it be better to consider other prices such as a horse like Combatant, who is running consistent, competitive numbers his last three races? (that is, compared to Lone Sailor’s top, not to the big guns)

Thanks everyone.