Re: Enough Nonsense (479 Views)
Date: March 18, 2005 07:40PM
TGJB,
>But in the end, the others you mentioned also gave out final figures-- and they have not held up.<
Because you have neither the data or knowledge to adjust all the final figures for the Hopeful pace, the previous paces, or the subsequent paces of all the horses to see "if" they held up.
Afleet Alex's figure obviously held up. Just look at the pacefigures.com "performance ratings" (which is the final time speed figures adjusted for pace) for all his races. They indcate that he ran a slower final figure in the Hopeful, but when adjusted for pace he ran his best race to that point - which translates into the race should not have been broken out.
I volunteer to leave myself. You need not ban me. I have had enough of you.
I am sorry to say I believe you have no comprehension of the issue at all. If anything, I am now even less likely to trust any of your figures in controversial races.
You think within a narrow box of final time figures that square away just by adjusting the variant without any consideration for other things might have impacted the time and accounted for a faster or slower race than expected. This is not how I think or handicap.
Post Edited (03-18-05 20:45)