Re: Aqueduct-Split Variants?? (394 Views)
Posted by:
Frank (IP Logged)
Date: April 10, 2005 02:33PM
miff,
I agree that the Wood will be a very tough race for the figure makers. Either BR freaked big time or a bunch of horses X'ed at the same time.
As for the SA Derby, I disagree with your comments. If you had a negative opinion of SC's chances of running close to her top then I believe BB at 30-1 was a very logical key. Not the most likely winner but at 30-1 you can't have everything. The two other faster horses you refer to inside of BB, one was Giacomo who was a quarter point faster at 7/2 and the other was Don't Get Mad whose top of 4 was at 7F and was 7-1. At his only try at 2 turns DGM ran a half point slower than BB. The weight was inconsequential. All the contenders were picking up weight except for the filly and all were carrying 122. BB had to overcome the post but he seemed to have enough tactical speed to secure a reasonable trip with the long run down the stretch to the first turn. He also had a very good pattern with very good spacing with a very good trainer that had won the last two SA Derbies. And did I forget to mention 30-1.
And I do know of two serious players, TG users, that made serious wagers on the horse.
Frank