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Preakness ML and picks (1537 Views)
Posted by: Mark O'Keeffe (IP Logged)
Date: May 16, 2002 05:28PM

War Emblem - 2/1- figures to get a stalking position behing Table Limit and Booklet.

Proud Citizen - 4/1- might have another 0 in him, but faces wide trip.

Medaglia - 5/1- will be over bet considering Bailey and likely ground saving trip just behind the speed.

USS Tinosa - 8/1- great works, good post but will be overbet. Minor share possible.

Harlans Holiday - 10/1- dull coat, lost weight since last,another 4f work.It would be a real surprise to me if he's on the board.

Booklet - 12/1 - doubt Day will be on a kamikaze mission here. Drew poorly, adds weight and he ain't that fast. Factor for a mile.

Table Limit - 15/1 - prepping for Belmont? Yeah, right. He'll be on the lead and if Booklet doesn't go with him, he is fast enough to upset.

Magic Weisner - 25/1- home court advantage. If a suicidal pace developes, he'll be closing fast and at big odds.

Easyfromthegitgo - 25/1 - not fast, but might clunk up for a minor share, which is all he can realisticall do.

Crimson Hero - 25/1 - Perret got on this horse once and didn't keep the mount. That sez it all, but might consider on a wet track.

Straight Gin - 25/1 - will take advantage of lack of inside speed but don't think he can go this far.

Equalize - 30/1 - post is a killer.

Menacing Dennis - 30/1 - faces wide trip as part of early pace.

I see one of three scenarios:

1. War Emblem gets loose again and its all over. 2. everyone is speed crazy while War Emblem stalks 3 or 4 wide, pounces on them on the turn and draws off. 3. War Emblem is cooked in a fast pace setting it up for the closers, most of whom will be overbet. The closer I like is Magic Weisner. Table Limit scares me. Proud Citizen and Medaglia can't be tossed.

MO



Subject Written By Posted
Preakness ML and picks (1537 Views) Mark O'Keeffe 05/16/2002 05:28PM
Re: Preakness ML and picks (1000 Views) Treadhead 05/16/2002 05:59PM
Re: Preakness ML and picks (940 Views) Mark O'Keeffe 05/16/2002 06:49PM
Re: Preakness ML and picks (1404 Views) Michael D. 05/18/2002 09:30PM
Good analysis Mark (906 Views) derby1592 05/19/2002 12:00AM
Re: Good analysis Mark (880 Views) Mark O'Keeffe 05/19/2002 05:03AM


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