Race 10, New York Bred Slow Rats:
22.73, 45.47, 1:10.51, 1:37.50

Race 9,Extrapolated Survivalist:
24.88, 48.18, 1:11.84, 1:37:31, 1.50.66

Race 4, Starter Allowance Slow Rats
24.08, 48.13, 1:12.64, 1:38.33, 2:04.49

To my eye Survivalist was life and death with the New York Bred Slow Rats. Of course, theres different parts of the course run, different distances. Different wind. To me it looks like Shug sent Survivalist out with orders to rate in an attempt to get the distance. Rate he did. He CRAWLED and then came home on an extremely glib surface in 13.35 or an extrapolated 26.70. Bellamy Road came home in 25.50. Scrappy T in 28.80, which is evidence to me that Scrappy ran very poorly late and quite possibly poorly early.

I've always believed that when there is a discrepancy among figure makers you better defer to TGraph. Theres no discrepancy that I'm aware of. To this point, everyone is saying fast. I'll tell you though, I gotta believe that Survivalist was slower than a 4.



Post Edited (04-12-05 21:46)