If recent history is relevant your Derby winner has probably run fast enough (around a 1 ???) to win it already and will win with a pair or slight backward move (see Bellamy Road.) Off the top of my head this group would include not in any particular order - Bellamy Road; High Fly; Blues & Royals; Afleet Alex; Sun King; Consolidator; High Limit; Bandini (assuming his BG was that fast.) Rockport still to run in Lexington so maybe. I'm sure I'm forgetting someone and I'm not saying it has to be that way though at this point I'd be surprised if your winner isn't on that list. Of course if this post follows my recent form I'd look elsewhere.

Mark