2005 Bluegrass Day

4^25K,Cl-23.49, 46.95, 1:11.50, 1:17.96
3YO,MSW-22.49, 45.59, 1:10.68, 1:23.68
4^NW1X-22.75, 46.93, 1:12.80, 1:38.46, 1:44.72
3YO,50k,C-l22.48, 45.71, 1:12.03, 1:25.46
3YOf,NWX1- 23.57, 47.64, 1:12.10, 1:38.20, 1:44.72
3^,400K-22.24, 44.94, 1:09.76, 1:22.06
3YO,750K-23.41, 46.65, 1:10.56, 1:36.76, 1:50.16

I just reviewed the charts from last year and though I think the quality of the races differed somewhat the finishing times were definitely slower when TGraph assigned The Cliffs Edge about a negative 1 is my recollection.

When This years Bluegrass was over I thought a 2, maybe a 1 for Bandini, but that makes High Limit about a 4 at best. Bandini had some ground loss vis a vie that one of course. Theres enough two turn sampling for me to defer to TGraph here. I did last year and it stood me in good stead. Jerry mentioned negative 1. I guess that makes High Limit about a 3. Closing Argument about a 4 with ground loss. I'm speculating of course. I think the six furlong mark was hot.

Give me a moment to find the post and I'll post last years Bluegrass day times.

2004 Bluegrass Day

4up,NW1X,8.5: 24.40, 48.59, 1:13.67, 1:39.39, 1:45.72
Favorite off pace
4up,F,10k,7f: 22.78, 46.34, 1:11.55, 1:25.18
Favorite always prominent
4up,F,25k,8.5: 24.13, 48.22, 1:13.20, 1:40.52, 1:47.43
2nd choice wire
4up,F,MSW,8.5: 23.98, 48.99, 1:14.98, 1:43.11, 1:50.15
Favorite off pace
3up,250K/stk,7f: 22.63, 45.20, 1:09.78, 1:23.14
Favorite off pace
3up,MSW,6f: 21.85, 46.11, 58.72, 1:11.99
3rd choice wire
3yr,F,NW1X,8.5: 23.57, 47.84, 1:12.90, 1:39.40, 1:45.91
Closer 4th choice
3yr,750K/stk,9f: 23.70, 46.60, 1:11.12, 1:36.91, 1:49.42

2004-23.70, 46.60, 1:11.12, 1:36.91, 1:49.42

2005-23.41, 46.65, 1:10.56, 1:36.76, 1:50.16

Not alot of difference on the Bluegrass Stakes, but the NW1X races were significantly slower. That could be path and quality of animal I suppose. I tend to agree with Haskin's analysis though, but for the rubbery legged part taking back. Other than bias that made no sense.

http://tcm.bloodhorse.com/viewstory.asp?id=27701

Heres what he said about Bellamy. This guy knows how to view a race. I dont agree with him that TCE lost lengths going inside in last years Florida Derby though and I don't think Survivalist has a remote prayer:

http://tcm.bloodhorse.com/viewstory.asp?id=27596



Post Edited (04-18-05 23:01)